Archive for the ‘gambling’ Tag
Shithole. Fucking yuppy shithole. Elegant, mind you, but overpriced and with waitrons that cop an attitude. Enjoy your empty “pub,” folks (or, should I say “cocktail bar”?).
Someone should run a book on when Lighthouse goes out of business. With the holidays on us, they will get through the New Year so I would place my wager on sometime in March or April (let’s arbitrarily say Easter Monday), possibly taking their sister (the Cowley Retreat) down with them.
Happy Hour
The bar is clean and the prices not too inflated for the sort of venue, but the real attraction is the crowd of punters crowding around the bookies. I tend to just do the Totes betting on runners that look good (stats and the walk-by) until I get ahead — which rarely happens — then drop any excess on long odds with one of the bookies; but the regulars here are quite the show. For me, it was just a place to go at the end of my own run for the day and there was a bar, free admission, and as it turned out free entertainment (hit one for 3:1 out of four races).
Dog tracks have a shitty reputation and I’m sure there are trainers that still deserve it but these pups today looked healthy and it is a joy to watch them sprint. A few were a bit stiff in the legs but I’ve known a lot of non-racing and ex-racing greyhounds over the years and this is not atypical. I really want one or more of these guys if we ever get a space of our own, too.
One at 3-to-1
While my other three greyhounds
Loped in next to last.
Name: Somersby cider
Type: cider
Venue: Abbey Stadium greyhound track, Swindon
Review/notes: Totally functional cider. I broke even on betting after four races so two of these were my entire cost for the day…result! Decided to walk it off and head back to the house for an early supper. First time at the afternoon meeting, definitely not the last.
If you want any tips, feel free to ask. This is the dog I had the most faith in…came in fifth:
[DT =Daily Tipple, explained in DT #000 here]
Monthly consolidations/compilations: January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
The previous post was better, but I wanted to showcase the screensavers pieced together by Squeezin’ (with my gratitude for these). The pics, in order, are
Venue |
Where |
beer # |
The Princess Hotel (done around 5 am New Year’s Day) |
Swindon |
1 |
The Bank House |
Cheltenham |
2 |
At the New Year’s Races in Cheltenham (watching my nag drag in) |
Cheltenham |
3 |
Midlands Hotel |
Cheltenham |
4 |
The Queen’s Tap |
Swindon |
5 |
The Four Candles |
Oxford |
6 |
The Turf Tavern (at the sign commemorating Clinton failing to inhale there) |
Oxford |
7 |
The White Horse |
Oxford |
8 |
O’Neill’s |
Oxford |
9 |
Ellington’s |
Swindon |
10 |
The Red Lion |
Oxford |
11 |
The Gloucester Arms |
Oxford |
12 |
Eurobar |
Oxford |
13 |
The Volunteer |
Faringdon |
14 |
The Red Lion |
Faringdon |
15 |
The Bell |
Faringdon |
16 |
The Lamb and Flag |
Oxford |
17 |
The Bird and Baby |
Oxford |
18 |
Far The Madding Crowd |
Oxford |
19 |
Southbrook Inn |
Swindon |
20 |
The White Hart |
Wolvercote, Oxfordshire |
21 |
The Red Lion |
Wolvercote, Oxfordshire |
22 |
The Plough |
Oxford |
23 |
The Gardener’s Arms |
Oxford |
24 |
The Rose and Crown |
Oxford |
25 |
TP’s |
Swindon |
26 |
The De’s Cut |
Oxford |
27 |
The King and Queen |
Longcot, Oxfordshire |
28 |
The Woodman Inn |
Fernham, Oxfordshire |
29 |
The Eagle |
Little Cocks Swell, Oxfordshire |
30 |
The Wheatsheaf |
Faringdon, Oxfordshire |
31 |
Faringdon Folly |
Faringdon, Oxfordshire |
32 |
Salisbury Cathedral |
Salisbury |
33 |
The King’s Arms |
Salisbury |
34 |
The Old Castle Pub |
Salisbury |
35 |
The keep at Old Sarum |
Salisbury |
36 |
Wheatsheaf |
Lower Woodford, Wiltshire |
37 |
Bridge Inn |
Upper Woodford, Wiltshire |
38 |
Black Horse |
Great Durnford, Wiltshire |
39 |
Wilsford Cum Lake sign (heh, heh) |
Wiltshire |
40 |
Stonehenge (really a great disappointment) |
Wiltshire |
41 |
King’s Arms |
Amesbury, Wiltshire |
42 |
George Hotel |
Amesbury, Wiltshire |
43 |
New Inn |
Amesbury, Wiltshire |
44 |
The Greyhound |
Amesbury, Wiltshire |
45 |
Royal Oak |
Oxford |
46 |
The Red Lion |
Marston, Oxfordshire |
47 |
The Angel and Greyhound |
Oxford |
48 |
The University Club |
Oxford |
49 |
The GW Hotel |
Swindon |
50 |
Jude the Obscure |
Oxford |
51 |
The Victoria |
Oxford |
52 |
The Rickety Press |
Oxford |
53 |
Wahoo Sport Bar |
Oxford |
54 |
The Oxford Retreat |
Oxford |
55 |
The Grapes |
Oxford |
56 |
The Rolleston |
Swindon |
57 |
The Baker’s Arms |
Swindon |
58 |
The Dolphin |
Swindon |
59 |
Marsh Farm Hotel |
Royal Wootton Bassett |
60 |
The Cross Keys |
Royal Wootton Bassett |
61 |
The Old School |
Oxford |
62 |
The King’s Arms |
Oxford |
63 |
The Swan and Castle |
Oxford |
64 |
The Victoria Arms |
Marston, Oxfordshire |
65 |
The Black Swan |
Abingdon, Oxfordshire |
66 |
The Blue Boar |
Abingdon, Oxfordshire |
67 |
The Bowyer Arms |
Radley, Oxfordshire |
68 |
Zen Bar |
Swindon |
69 |
Sir Daniel Arms |
Swindon |
70 |
White Hart |
Lyneham, Wiltshire |
71 |
Sodom |
Wiltshire |
72 |
The Angel |
Royal Wootton Bassett, Wiltshire |
73 |
Cape of Good Hope |
Oxford |
74 |
Rudi’s |
Swindon |
75 |
Burn’s Day Lunch (Haggis, Neeps, Tatties, Whisky, and 2 beers) |
Oxford |
76 |
Swindon Wildcats 3, Sheffield Steeldogs 4 (SO) |
Swindon |
77 |
The Longwall |
Oxford |
78 |
The Royal George |
Purton, Wiltshire |
79 |
Riff’s Bar |
Greatfield, Wiltshire |
80 |
Magic Roundabout |
Swindon |
81 |
The Three Tuns |
Wroughton |
82 |
The Havana |
Swindon |
83 |
The Lydiard |
Swindon |
84 |
The Savoy |
Swindon |
85 |
The Brewer’s Arms |
Cirencester |
86 |
The White Horse |
Woolstone |
87 |
The College Farm |
Watchfield |
88 |
The Horse and Jockey |
Ashton Keynes, Gloucestershire |
89 |
The Vale Hotel |
Cricklade |
90 |
Goldfinger Tavern |
Highworth, Wiltshire |
91 |
The Red Lion |
Northmoor, Oxfordshire |
92 |
The Bell Inn |
Standlake, Oxfordshire |
93 |
The Maybush |
Newbridge, Oxfordshire |
94 |
The Beehive (this is about 100 yards from the house we are moving to) |
Swindon |
95 |
Baker Street |
Swindon |
96 |
Steam Railway Company Pub |
Swindon |
97 |
The Pig on the Hill |
Swindon |
98 |
Long’s Bar |
Swindon |
99 |
near Parliament, with a Cuban cigar and a bunch of dirty looks (and after 5 pub stops) |
London Marathon |
100 |
The Bear |
Oxford |
101 |
The Old Tom |
Oxford |
102 |
The Crown |
Oxford |
103 |
The Beehive |
Carterton, Oxfordshire |
104 |
The Crown Inn |
Faringdon, Oxfordshire |
105 |
Romany Inn |
Bampton, Oxfordshire |
106 |
Talbot Hotel |
Bampton, Oxfordshire |
107 |
The George Inn |
Sandy Lane, Wiltshire |
108 |
The White Hart |
Calne, Wiltshire |
109 |
The now defunct King George |
Calne, Wiltshire |
110 |
Barrington Arms |
Shrivenham, Oxfordshire |
111 |
Groves Company Inn |
Swindon |
112 |
Revolution |
Swindon |
113 |
The Plough |
Sutton Courtenay, Oxfordshire |
114 |
The George and Dragon |
Sutton Courtenay, Oxfordshire |
115 |
The Fish |
Sutton Courtenay, Oxfordshire |
116 |
Great Western Railway Staff Association |
Didcot, Oxfordshire |
117 |
The Prince of Wales |
Didcot, Oxfordshire |
118 |
Tap and Barrel (good read goes along with this pic) |
Swindon |
119 |
Old Town Festival |
Swindon Town Gardens |
120 |
Cock Inn |
Combe, Oxfordshire |
121 |
Three Horseshoes |
Long Hanborough, Oxfordshire |
122 |
Swindon Pride 2012 |
Swindon (duh) |
123 |
Wernham Hogg’s |
Slough, Berkshire |
124 |
The Myrtle Grove |
Risca, Gwent, Wales |
125 |
The Sirhowy |
Blackwood, Gwent, Wales |
126 |
Railway Tavern |
Sirhowy, Blaenau Gwent, Wales |
127 |
The Castle |
Bryn Serth, Blaenau Gwent, Wales |
128 |
The Coach and Horses |
Ashvale, Blaenau Gwent, Wales |
129 |
Ye Olde Red Lion Hotel |
Tredegar, Blaenau Gwent, Wales |
130 |
The Tumble Inn |
Pontypridd, Wales |
131 |
The Maltster’s Arms |
Pontypridd, Wales |
132 |
Wyvern Theatre |
Swindon |
133 |
Byron’s Bar |
Swindon |
134 |
The Bear Hotel |
Wantage, Oxfordshire |
135 |
Source ot the River Thames |
Kemble, Gloucestershire |
136 |
Carpenter’s Arms |
Lacock, Wiltshire |
137 |
Mill House |
Chippenham, Wiltshire |
138 |
Sunny’s Pool Bar |
Swindon |
139 |
The Royal Oak |
Marlborough, Wiltshire |
140 |
The Lamb Inn |
Marlborough, Wiltshire |
141 |
The Crown |
Marlborough, Wiltshire |
142 |
IMS/TOF Mass Spectrometer |
Oxford University |
143 |
New Year’s Eve on Ferndale Road |
Swindon |
144 |
Betting the last pound? Last hundred quid? The big money is on Romney and the smart money is….
Paddy Power has already cashed out for Obama, but it was only £400K (and at their odds, the advertising revenue equivalent makes this a bargain…they are still taking bets, by the way). I hope the gamblers’ optimism is right but, except for Clinton, Obama is the only other Republican I have ever voted for (don’t give me that Official Party Affiliation bullshit, you purists, they are both right of Nixon).
Anyway, now that this is all done and dusted, keep in mind you can still bet on other politics, the X-Factor, Rugby (Union or League), and Religion. That’s right. Religion.
Update: Only a few hours after this post went up, Paddy Power called the race for Obama, paying out 2 days early.
The payout on a pound bet, above, has been a jagged ride at times. The spreadsheet I have kept on this has ridiculous notes on it as you might expect. Here were the dates I found significant:
Debates → October 3, 9, 16, and 22
Jon Stewart v. Bill O’Reilly → Oct. 6
Hurricane Sandy, Halloween, and Chris Christie → October 30-31
Socialism 2012 meeting in London → November 3 (I think I put that on as a reminder to attend)
The over/under looks good for Obama, right now, but the odds have an 8.3% house bias against random results which pushes the actual prediction down closer to 274 and 277 for Ladbrokes (top) and Paddy Power respectively. William Hill has this interesting betting option for those of you in it for the long game:
I’m taking Wednesday, the day after the election polls close up to 10 hours after the clock hits 7 pm here, off. The first day at work here, I sat in the canteen at Cambridge and explained to one of my PIs that God Bless America and God Save the Queen were the same song while we watched Obama’s inauguration (and almost everyone EXCEPT us Americans) weeped in relief. Now I have to explain really stupid shit like why Romney is still neck-and-neck (in the polls)…gamblers don’t fuck around, thus, which is why I trust the gambling odds more than opinion polls (when you are risking the rent and not something as trivial as the freedom of the world’s populace or–at a minum–the most powerful economy in the world during desperate times, you choose a real winner and not some fucking longshot with an enchanting name).
So, we see people who have nothing more or less than pounds Sterling riding on this election dropping quid for Obama.
Full disposition Sunday and Tuesday (then the voters decide who pays out). If I buy one pound each today I lose 73 pence if Obama wins and win £3.07 if Romney wins. I’m not a gambler, but I know a LOT of them….
The weekly updates of the betting odds for President continue with the payouts on £1 bets (includes stake) tracked above (larger numbers mean less bookie confidence in your chances).
Recent events of interest include the 2nd Presidential Debate on 16 October where Mitt Romney showed more evidence of Tourette’s Syndrome and Obama acted as if he were engaged with the proceedings. Last week’s episode of this gambling round-up is here.
Some of the items related to Romney’s “Binders for Women” phrase that were spotted within minutes of the debate’s end are shown here:
Same drill, payout includes your £1 stake. All three betting shops tracking one another with Romney’s odds closing on Obama’s
The weekly report on the day after the Vice-Presidential Debate between Biden and Ryan, the odds look like this (compare to last Friday, here):
Also of note, the vast improvement of Romney’s fortunes after the first Presidential Debate on 03 October and the relative indifference of this sampling method to the Jon Stewart versus Bill O’Reilly Debate on 06 October:
Payout on a £1 bet includes your stake (higher number means less confidence in the candidate from the gambling community)
With just under a month till the election, here are some of the recent odds:
When I started this last year, the primaries were still 10 months away. In the last couple of months, Ladbrokes has been joined by Paddy Power and William Hill betting agents as odds makers. Obama has been a little better than even money to win from the start, and it has been fun to watch the fortunes of, for instance, Rick Santorum rise and fall on the totes. The most recent improvement in Romney’s situation has been the first, erm, we call it a “debate” (since that seems to be the term the Press has dubbed it) on 03 October. Regular updates to appear from here on in to Election Day, I reckon.
Update: This is weekly through the Friday before Election Day then daily until the dust settles (remember 2000?). Here’s the 12 October entry.
As I mentioned in the Red Lion (Baydon) post, I only had three pubs scoped out for this run, but the helpful souls at the George Hotel insisted I must go to the Wheelwright’s Arms which I had originally written off because without a web presence I couldn’t be sure of their hours. I needn’t have worried as this is one of those proper turf pubs (Lambourn is something of a racing town), where racing is shown and bets are made (on the phone to bookies, exclusively of course) as long as there is a race to bet on. There was no gambling on the the ale, though, as there were three taps all marked Moreland’s Best Bitter.
“I’ll have a pint of Moreland’s Best Bitter, please.”
“Good, choice. Do I detect a”
I cut him off. “Atlanta. Do you know Atlanta?”
“Oooooooo, I’ve only ever been to New York, Baltimore and Florida.”
“Aqueduct, Pimlico, Hialeah?”
“Yes, how did you know?”
Forgot the photo, snagged this one off Google maps
After my successful shopping trip (I got a nice Quintera Habana that should last me the final couple miles of the Marathon plus the bag pick-up and finding Jackie afterward), I caught up on my Carling’s and on leaving the Pig on the Hill was heading down to the betting parlor to put in my flutter on the Grand National (both our horses were out before the halfway mark). They were showing the Aintree races in Long’s as I passed so I went in for #99 and saw some horses that screwed me at Cheltenham come in winners this time…bastards.
Long’s seems like a night club but a fairly civilised one but with the Victoria right across the alleyway and the Roaring Donkey directly behind I don’t really see this as a regular hangout.
watching the horses
Santorum, answering the question, "As President, how would you deal with Christian extremists?"
A quick look at Ladbrokes Betting Odds today shows the effect of Santorum’s recent good showing since the last update (sorry Boog, no tna shots this time, just a bunch of boobs). Hillary still has the best odds of the people not running at all for President. Also interesting, Ron Paul has better odds of becoming the nominee AND of winning the Presidency than he does of becoming the Vice-Presidential nominee. Steven Colbert and Glenn Beck still have a presence on the boards, as well:
Selection |
Pres?
|
Nominee?
|
VP?
|
Barack Obama |
4/7
|
xxx
|
xxx
|
Mitt Romney |
7/4
|
1/6
|
25/1
|
Rick Santorum |
16/1
|
6/1
|
7/1
|
Newt Gingrich |
33/1
|
16/1
|
25/1
|
Ron Paul |
40/1
|
25/1
|
50/1
|
Hillary Clinton |
50/1
|
xxx
|
xxx
|
Donald Trump |
100/1
|
xxx
|
100/1
|
Jeb Bush |
200/1
|
100/1
|
xxx
|
Paul Ryan |
200/1
|
100/1
|
12/1
|
Chris Christie |
200/1
|
100/1
|
5/1
|
Mitch Daniels |
200/1
|
100/1
|
25/1
|
Marco Rubio |
xxx
|
xxx
|
5/2
|
Susana Martinez |
xxx
|
xxx
|
10/1
|
Bob McDonnell |
xxx
|
xxx
|
10/1
|
Jim DeMint |
xxx
|
xxx
|
20/1
|
Tim Pawlenty |
xxx
|
xxx
|
20/1
|
Nikki Haley |
xxx
|
xxx
|
20/1
|
Kelly Ayote |
xxx
|
xxx
|
20/1
|
Hayley Barbour |
xxx
|
xxx
|
20/1
|
Jon Thune |
xxx
|
xxx
|
20/1
|
Condoleeza Rice |
xxx
|
xxx
|
25/1
|
Rob Portman |
xxx
|
xxx
|
25/1
|
Brian Sandoval |
xxx
|
xxx
|
25/1
|
Bobby Jindal |
xxx
|
xxx
|
25/1
|
Jon Huntsman |
xxx
|
xxx
|
25/1
|
Rick Snyder |
xxx
|
xxx
|
33/1
|
Colin Powell |
xxx
|
xxx
|
33/1
|
Meg Whitman |
xxx
|
xxx
|
33/1
|
Lindsey Graham |
xxx
|
xxx
|
33/1
|
Rick Perry |
xxx
|
xxx
|
50/1
|
Sarah Palin |
xxx
|
xxx
|
50/1
|
Michele Bachmann |
xxx
|
xxx
|
50/1
|
Herman Cain |
xxx
|
xxx
|
50/1
|
Mike Huckabee |
xxx
|
xxx
|
50/1
|
Scott Walker |
xxx
|
xxx
|
50/1
|
David Petraeus |
xxx
|
xxx
|
50/1
|
Allen West |
xxx
|
xxx
|
50/1
|
Scott Brown |
xxx
|
xxx
|
50/1
|
Kay Bailey Hutchison |
xxx
|
xxx
|
50/1
|
Rand Paul |
xxx
|
xxx
|
50/1
|
John McCain |
xxx
|
xxx
|
66/1
|
Steven Colbert |
xxx
|
xxx
|
150/1
|
Glenn Beck |
xxx
|
xxx
|
200/1
|
Note: this seems to offend some. Result!
-
-
Paul WoodfordWondering why you posted that link. Was the fake photo the whole point?
Updating the betting odds at the end of January 2012, we find a thinner pack at the top level but interesting things happening at the Republican Vice-Presidential table (although the fact that gamblers think Hilary Clinton, who isn’t even running, has a better shot than most Republicans is telling):
Election winner |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Selection |
Odds |
|
|
|
|
|
Barack Obama |
4:6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
13:8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
14:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
33:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Hillary Clinton |
50:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
66:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitch Daniels |
100:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
100:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jeb Bush |
200:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Paul Ryan |
200:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie |
200:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Republican Nominee |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Selection |
Odds |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
1:8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
6:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
25:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
50:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitch Daniels |
66:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jeb Bush |
100:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Paul Ryan |
100:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie |
100:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Winning Party |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Selection |
Odds |
|
|
|
|
|
Democrats |
13:20 |
|
|
|
|
|
Republicans |
5:4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Independent |
50:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Republican Vice Presidential Nominee |
|
|
|
|
|
Will be settled on nominee at 2012 Republican National Convention. Others on request. |
Selection |
Odds |
|
|
|
|
|
Marco Rubio |
5:2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie |
5:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Susana Martinez |
10:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Paul Ryan |
12:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bob McDonnell |
14:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
16:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Hayley Barbour |
16:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
16:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
16:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
20:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Nikki Haley |
20:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Kelly Ayote |
20:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Thune |
20:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jim DeMint |
20:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitch Daniels |
25:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rob Portman |
25:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Brian Sandoval |
25:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bobby Jindal |
25:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Condoleeza Rice |
25:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
25:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
33:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Snyder |
33:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
33:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Colin Powell |
33:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Meg Whitman |
33:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Lindsey Graham |
33:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
40:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
50:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
50:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
50:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
David Petraeus |
50:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Allen West |
50:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Scott Brown |
50:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Kay Bailey Hutchison |
50:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rand Paul |
50:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Scott Walker |
50:1 |
|
|
|
|
|
John McCain |
66:1 |
|
|
|
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Donald Trump |
100:1 |
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Glenn Beck |
200:1 |
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Florida Republican Primary |
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Selection |
Odds |
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Mitt Romney |
1:25 |
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Newt Gingrich |
8:1 |
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Rick Santorum |
100:1 |
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Ron Paul |
100:1 |
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odds from Ladbrokes.
I don’t think it was the 26th Anniversary celebrations that knocked Jackie on her ass, but she was quite too sick to travel to the races the morning after…I felt fine, but, as it is, I didn’t sleep very long either. So, with her bailing on the trip it was down to me to pour a scotch, study the Racing Form and go make us some money:
There are several bars erroneously called pubs in the enclosures, but essentially these are a line of poorly attended taps with two or three staff trying to make beverages appear for (no shit) tens of thousands of punters. And everywhere, including these erstwhile pubs, there are betting facilities. It seems that sometime soon after I arrived my photo was circulated so that the betting agents or the trackside bookies could alert the jockies so that my horse could finish each race, but always dead…fucking…last.
That's mine just after the finish line...the others are way out of frame to the right
You can still place bets on the overall winner of the 2012 US Presidential race, but Ladbrokes has finally broken the candidate categories into Party Nominations since the official candidacy announcements are starting to roll in. I’ll follow these over the next few weeks, too, but for now the numbers are pretty similar to the ones posted in the overall race (see earlier post).
Compared to 3 weeks ago and before the announcements started, every pick has held the same odds with the following exceptions:
Momentum |
2011-03-31
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2011-04-20
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Barack Obama |
8/11
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4/6
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Donald Trump |
50/1
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25/1.
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Michele Bachmann |
100/1
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50/1
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Paul Ryan |
66/1
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50/1
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Dragging ass |
2011-03-31
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2011-04-20
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Sarah Palin |
14/1.
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16/1.
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Mitch Daniels |
16/1.
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18/1.
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Mike Huckabee |
16/1.
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20/1.
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David Petraeus |
33/1
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40/1
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Scott Brown |
66/1
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100/1
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Joe Biden |
66/1
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100/1
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I still haven’t spotted Dennis Kucinich on the lists. My £5 bet awaits.
{I thought I should post this today rather than on April Fools Day, lest someone think the entire post–and not JUST the links–are some kind of joke.}
I love the way you can gamble on ANYTHING here. More than 20 months off there are already odds on the American Presidential Election. These are worth watching and I’ll update it over the course of time…place your bets at Ladbrokes (okay, this link is for real, as well).
Politics / US Presidential Election
Election winner
Time : Nov’12
Event : 2012 US Presidential Race
Selection Odds
Barack Obama 8/11
Mitt Romney 7/1
Sarah Palin 14/1
Mike Huckabee, Tim Pawlenty, Mitch Daniels, Chris Christie 16/1
Jon Huntsman 20/1
Hillary Clinton 25/1
David Petraeus, Newt Gingrich, Haley Barbour 33/1
Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio 40/1
Michael Bloomberg, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump 50/1
Joe Biden, Ron Paul, Bobby Jindal, Rudy Giuliani, Eric Cantor, Jon Thune, Rick Perry, Paul Ryan, Scott Brown, Rand Paul 66/1
Mark Warner, John McCain, Rob Portman, Tom Ridge, Kay Bailey Hutchison, Sam Brownback, Mike Pence, Gary Johnson, Michele Bachmann, Stanley McChrystal, Tom Coburn, Michael Steele, George Pataki, John Bolton, Herman Cain, Jim DeMint, John Cornyn, Bob McDonnell 100/1
Fred Thompson, Dirk Kempthorne 125/1
Brian Schweitzer, Al Gore, Charlie Crist, Russ Feingold, Charles Roemer 150/1
Mark Sanford, Lou Dobbs, Dick Cheney, Carly Fiorina, Howard Dean, Bob Riley, Roy Moore 200/1
Sharron Angle 250/1
In Britain, they bet on everything. You can slap a fiver on the bar at a pub and bet on the colour of the scarf of the next person through the door and someone in there will walk away with a fist full of cash soon thereafter. The betting parlours were running a line on the next Dr. Who, recently. This week it is all White Christmas…the weather has had the bookies in a lather over the odds the last few days, but here is a screen shot of the latest line:
Betting the last pound? Last hundred quid? The big money is on Romney and the smart money is….
Paddy Power has already cashed out for Obama, but it was only £400K (and at their odds, the advertising revenue equivalent makes this a bargain…they are still taking bets, by the way). I hope the gamblers’ optimism is right but, except for Clinton, Obama is the only other Republican I have ever voted for (don’t give me that Official Party Affiliation bullshit, you purists, they are both right of Nixon).
Anyway, now that this is all done and dusted, keep in mind you can still bet on other politics, the X-Factor, Rugby (Union or League), and Religion. That’s right. Religion.
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